Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.005382 0.005968 0.006603 0.007345 0.008191 0.009127 0.010246
2025-06-29 0.004356 0.005140 0.006058 0.007219 0.008660 0.010405 0.012704
2025-07-06 0.003758 0.004614 0.005667 0.007071 0.008920 0.011304 0.014668
2025-07-13 0.003385 0.004291 0.005449 0.007063 0.009294 0.012328 0.016875
2025-07-20 0.003161 0.004121 0.005391 0.007231 0.009889 0.013686 0.019711
2025-07-27 0.002904 0.003873 0.005194 0.007170 0.010133 0.014551 0.021918
2025-08-03 0.002706 0.003685 0.005055 0.007166 0.010444 0.015531 0.024427
2025-08-10 0.002515 0.003488 0.004880 0.007084 0.010615 0.016295 0.026677
2025-08-17 0.002382 0.003362 0.004795 0.007125 0.010974 0.017394 0.029666
2025-08-24 0.002234 0.003201 0.004643 0.007041 0.011113 0.018129 0.032094
2025-08-31 0.002071 0.003006 0.004423 0.006825 0.011002 0.018405 0.033673
2025-09-07 0.001969 0.002897 0.004329 0.006807 0.011226 0.019304 0.036636
2025-09-14 0.001917 0.002867 0.004365 0.007023 0.011915 0.021207 0.042164
2025-09-21 0.001799 0.002725 0.004208 0.006894 0.011962 0.021885 0.045188
2025-09-28 0.001691 0.002590 0.004055 0.006756 0.011970 0.022481 0.048137
2025-10-05 0.001616 0.002506 0.003978 0.006748 0.012230 0.023630 0.052667
2025-10-12 0.001575 0.002475 0.003992 0.006906 0.012838 0.025616 0.059783
2025-10-19 0.001502 0.002386 0.003896 0.006849 0.012992 0.026612 0.064513
2025-10-26 0.001443 0.002318 0.003831 0.006845 0.013258 0.027902 0.070395
2025-11-02 0.001379 0.002234 0.003734 0.006767 0.013355 0.028800 0.075358
2025-11-09 0.001334 0.002185 0.003697 0.006806 0.013712 0.030395 0.082908
2025-11-16 0.001278 0.002110 0.003605 0.006727 0.013792 0.031297 0.088494
2025-11-23 0.001208 0.002009 0.003460 0.006523 0.013561 0.031350 0.091247